社群網戰The-Social-Network-Stills-andrew-garfield.jpg 

奧斯卡頒獎典禮一週倒數 影評人與電影同業各有所好

更新日期:2011/02/21 09:42

「奧斯卡頒獎典禮一週倒數 影評人與電影同業各有所好」(夏明珠報導)

奧斯卡進入倒數一週,今年好萊塢的電影頒獎季,可以說是近年來最精神分裂的一季。它幾乎像是兩個互不搭嘎的競賽,影評人組織的競賽回合,(社群網戰)一支獨秀,電影同業公會團體則幾乎一致向(王者之聲:宣戰時刻)傾斜,只有編劇公會例外,不過美國編劇公會一直以來,都被認為有點不按牌理出牌,今年(王者之聲)的劇本,連入圍都沒撈到,有人打趣說,今年他們也夠忙了,剛好可以休息一下,少一個劇本公會,沒甚麼關係,反正在各個電影從業人員的公會中,它不算特別重要,其它同業一面倒看好的程度,簡直可以讓(王者之聲)的團隊毫不懷疑自己應該趕快想想奧斯卡得獎感言該說些甚麼。

一月底,美國演員公會宣布得獎名單,(王者之聲:宣戰時刻),奪得最高榮譽、最佳整體演出大獎之後,宣告三大同業公會,也就是製片人、導演以及演員公會的大獎全部被它包辦。演員公會大概有十萬名會員,(王者之聲)和(社群網戰)是唯二發送DVD外加iTune下載版給所有會員的競賽片,許多電影公司只提供iTune網路版,據說下載過程就整死人。

(王者之聲)在製片人公會得獎,並不讓人意外,不過多數人都看好導演公會應該會把最佳導演獎頒給(社群網戰)的(大衛芬奇),(王者之聲)的(湯姆霍伯)成為黑馬,有可能是因為導演公會的一萬四千多位會員,是用選最佳影片的心情去投票,從1949年以來,導演公會選出的最佳導演,只有六次在奧斯卡摃龜,一部也參與競爭的電影製片人,在演員公會公布得獎名單之後,傳送簡訊給一位影評,簡訊只有一個字:Wow!驚訝之情,溢於言表。另外一部電影的顧問斷言,(社群網戰)在奧斯卡大概是沒戲唱了,對這個結果,他覺得有點不可置信,因為明明就有不少公會會員看好(社群網戰),(王者之聲)應該不可能所向披靡到這個程度,他搞不懂,投票的時候,支持(社群網戰)的人都上哪去了?這是個有趣的問題,內行人解釋說,奧斯卡得獎的祕訣就在於,你必須要抓準時間,替自己加分,然後在關鍵時刻,一股作氣,把聲勢推到最高點。放眼今年的入圍電影,沒有一個比(王者之聲)更確實的做到這一點。

它在同業公會接二連三的勝出,一再攻佔影藝新聞頭條,時間差不多剛好是影藝學院會員要投票的時候,一個接著一個獎項的肯定,必然會產生左右奧斯卡選票的作用,本來比較喜歡別的片子的人,說不定會開始猶豫,他是不是和主流看法脫節,原本就支持這部作品的人,則會更篤定,他選得沒錯。小金人就是這樣一步一步領進門的。

當然,奧斯卡還是不無可能讓最佳電影和最佳導演分家,頒給不同作品,這個狀況上一次發生是在2002年,巧的是那一年的電影(芝加哥),發行商剛好也是(王者之聲)的片商(衛恩斯坦),它的行銷功力,是好萊塢公認的,那年,(勞勃杜瓦)以(芝加哥)贏得導演公會最佳導演獎,後來,(芝加哥)在奧斯卡奪得最佳電影大獎,可是最佳導演的小金人,卻投入了(戰地琴人)的(波蘭斯基)懷抱。

兩千年那一屆,給獎分散的狀況更嚴重,(李安)以(臥虎藏龍)獲得導演公會肯定,可是奧斯卡卻把最佳導演頒給了(天人交戰)的(史蒂芬索德柏),最佳電影則被(神鬼戰士)抱走。看看這樣的先例,(社群網戰)的(大衛芬奇)應該還是很有希望。(王者之聲)的導演(湯姆霍伯)現在最怕的應該就是歷史重演,兩年前,他執導的HBO迷你影集、描述美國開國歷程的(約翰亞當斯)在艾美獎所向披靡,史無前例的囊括13個獎項,唯一沒拿到的就是導演獎。

在演員部分,(王者之聲)的(柯林佛斯)影帝十拿九穩,影后看好度最高的是(黑天鵝)的(娜塔莉波曼),男女配角是(燃燒鬥魂)與(王者之聲)之間的競爭,最佳動畫八九不離十是去年賣座冠軍(玩具總動員3),有人說,皮克斯動畫的作品入圍奧斯卡最佳動畫,除非發生一個狀況,否則得獎的一定是它,那個例外狀況就是它拿到最佳電影,今年,(玩具總動員3)就同時入圍了最佳電影和最佳動畫兩個獎項,成為繼1991年的(美女與野獸)以及去年的(天外奇蹟)之後,奧斯卡史上第三部入圍最佳電影的動畫片。

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奧斯卡獎前夕 喬治六世形象引爭議

更新日期:2011/02/21 09:39

今年奧斯卡獎的大熱門「王者之聲:宣戰時刻」,在頒獎典禮前,被指出和史實不符。據英國每日郵報報導,最近有部分奧斯卡獎的評審委員,收到一封電子郵件,其中點名「王者之聲」由柯林佛斯飾演的英王喬治六世,並不像電影所描述的,是抵抗納粹英雄,而是一名反猶太者;電郵中也指出,喬治六世甚至曾經私下派人接觸納粹求和,以免戰火波及英國。報導說,奧斯卡獎向來偏好形象正面的抗納粹電影,這項消息可能是要影響評審對「王者之聲」的看法。

電郵也舉出一名英國歷史學家的研究說,由於喬治六世對第一次世界大戰,心有餘悸,因此相當支持對納粹的姑息政策,甚至多次透過弟弟「肯特公爵」,和至少一名納粹成員接觸,企圖與納粹德國達成和平協議,讓納粹把攻擊矛頭轉向蘇聯,以免戰火波及英國;此外,喬治六世也被認為部份歷史學家認為,是一名反猶太者。

不過,也有好萊塢電影人士指出,奧斯卡獎歷來似乎都偏好抵抗納粹的電影,這次傳出王者之聲的負面消息,似乎是有人打算阻撓這部影片在奧斯卡獎中的表現。

Hammond Analysis: Oscar After SAG, DGA

By PETE HAMMOND 
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Pete Hammond

This has been one of the most schizophrenic awards seasons in recent memory. It has consisted of two distinct contests: first, the critics awards cycle which had The Social Network in a walk. Now the industry awards which completely reversed that decision, blanking the Facebook movie and honoring the royal dilemma story to the point where everyone involved with The King's Speech may just want to start getting their own speeches ready for the Kodak Theatre on February 27th. The last of the major Guild contests comes next Saturday at the WGA awards, which is always a bit of an anomaly since that Guild ruled The King's Speech and some other screenplays ineligible. (Harvey can take that night off.) This is the one Guild contest The Social Network can count on without question. Aaron Sorkin’s adapted screenplay is a lock at WGA – and at the Oscars.

The King’s Speech capture of SAG's Ensemble award Sunday completes a clean sweep of the three all-important Guild contests so far that also included surprise wins at the Producers Guild last weekend and the Directors Guild Saturday night. Afterwards, a producer for a rival film emailed me a one-word response that says it all: “WOW”. A consultant for another film in the race even went so far as to message me: The Social Network is clearly out. Where do those votes go? Because it ain’t gonna be TKS with no competition.” It’s an interesting question since Oscar races are all about gaining momentum at the right time, and then maximizing it. No one knows this better than Harvey Weinstein. His 1-2-3 wins at the Guilds is, if not a knockout punch, certainly a sobering wake-up call for his rivals as The King’s Speech is grabbing all the dream headlines just as final Oscar ballots are about to mailed on Wednesday. This kind of triumph usually, emphasis on usually, results in the Academy falling right in line with their Guild peers, and since King’s Speech was already enormously popular within the membership, this just gives them comfort in voting for it without looking like they were out of touch. That’s one theory.

Despite The King's Speech's win at the PGA, most pundits expected the DGA to go to The Social Network’s David Fincher. It could be argued that the vote for rival Tom Hooper was essentially a Best Picture vote from the 14,000-plus member Directors Guild. Although the DGA and Oscar winner have differed only six times since 1949, it is still possible the Academy could decide to spread the wealth and split their votes for Director and Picture since the voters have two distinctly different categories to work with unlike the DGA which just has one. This last happened in 2002 with, ironically, another Weinstein contender Chicago: Rob Marshall won the DGA prize only to see The Pianists’ Roman Polanski stun on Oscar night and win the Acad’s Best Director award even though Chicago won Best Picture. In 2000, the split was even more pronounced when Ang Lee took the DGA award forCrouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon but the Academy chose Steven Soderbergh as Best Director for Traffic -- and then proceeded to give Best Pic to their guilty pleasure, Gladiator. Fincher may want to console himself with that stat.

On the other hand, if Oscar is riding a real industry wave for The King’s Speechas it appears, then it could turn into a tsunami if Acad voters feel they just want to go with a winner and start checking it off for everything. Right now, that’s the smart bet. But these things have a way of turning on a dime. Witness the events of the last ten days. Hooper (a class act whether winning or losing this season) has experienced this before. His HBO miniseries John Adams swept the Emmys two years ago, winning a record 13 -- everything except, you guessed it, Best Director. Go figure.

Not imagining the success his film would have at PGA and DGA, SAG was the race Harvey targeted in order to put a dent in The Social Network’ssteamrolling momentum, particularly after the Facebook founding drama's sweep of the Golden Globes. (Were they only just two weeks ago?) Which is why at his Globes afterparty, Weinstein told me rather clairvoyantly now in hindsight, “The race is just beginning. Now the real voters will get their chance”, he said referring to the upcoming Guild contests as opposed to all the critics groups who were friendingThe Social Network.

As for the SAG results, the four acting prizes to Colin Firth, Natalie Portman, Christian Bale, and Melissa Leo were all the betting favorites, so no surprises there. But the Ensemble win is often looked at as that Guild’s Best Picture equivalent, even though SAG officially maintains it is just a cast award and more shouldn’t be read into it. Well, more often is read into its importance vis a vis the psychology of Oscar campaigning. The Weinstein Company aggressively went for that prize running countless newspaper and trade ads and TV spots during SAG’s voting period highlighting the “ensemble” nature of the film and emphasizing the SAG nomination. The King’s Speech and The Social Networkwere the only two films that went out on DVD and iTunes to the entire 100,000-plus SAG membership. Others went just the iTunes route but I heard complaining by some members that those films were a hassle to download.

A longtime Academy member who's a one-time studio marketing exec made an interesting prediction to me Sunday morning after the DGA results were known but before SAG's ceremony: “It’s going to be a conservative year for awards, hence The King’s Speech will win Best Pic. Distribs who cater principally to critics while failing to understand the psychology and subtext of voters and address them directly have an uphill battle to win awards”. But another longtime Academy member and former studio head I spoke to last night told me he's still voting for The Social Network. Harvey, that's one more vote to start working on.

| Monday January 31, 2011 @ 11:02am PST

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